Long Term Market Timing Signals
The chart above shows a red arrow when the Trend Momentum is
going down and the rank crosses 0 from a bull market to a bear market. A
green arrow is shown when the Trend Momentum is going up and the rank
crosses 0 from a bear market to a bull market.
Market conditions are Bearish in a Bull Market as of
2015-09-04. This means traders and investors
should consider trading with a Bearish bias by raising stop
levels on winners and selling losers. Aggressive traders
should consider buying put options or shorting stocks with 10%
or less of their portfolio. The rank of the Bull Market is
0.91199999999998 which indicates the current market conditions
are Extreme, Risk of a reversal is high.Short Term Market Timing Signals
 |
79.01 |  |
11.55 |  |
41.45 |
The short term market timing portion of the
newsletter shows a combination of all three indicators on one
graph, the momentum, breadth and sentiment indicators. The red and
green arrows on the chart
above the indicator chart will show each time these indicators
gave confirmation or confluence that meet the buy or sell criteria.
When market conditions are at extreme levels this group of
indicators will find reversal ranges.
If you see multiple arrows stacked one on the other each
represents the day that the confirmation signal was still in place.
Sell Signals are generated when sentiment is above breadth and
Breadth is above momentum and all are above 90.
Buy signals are generated when momentum is lower than breadth,
breadth is lower than sentiment and both breadth and momentum are lower
than 40. Values shown for Momentum, Breadth and Sentiment on the above
charts do not match those of the ones below, data has been normalized
here. Evaluate those charts individually.
Momentum Indicator
The Momentum Indicator is currently at -112.14 indicating a bearish trend in stocks. Risk of a short term trend reversal is low. This means the current bearish short term trend is likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are -70 to -140. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 3 to 6 months.
The
vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent
buy or
sell signal has already been generated. For example, the
indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not
be a new buy Signal vertical
line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
Breadth Indicator
The Breadth Indicator is currently at 10.00 indicating the breadth of stocks is very bearish. Risk of a bullish trend reversal is extreme. This means the current bearish trend is NOT likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are 0 to 20. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 3 to 6 months.
The
vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent
buy or
sell signal has already been generated. For example, the
indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not
be a new buy Signal vertical
line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
Sentiment Indicator
The Sentiment Indicator is currently at 79.01 indicating the sentiment in the stock market is neutral. Risk of a long term trend reversal low. This means the current long term trend is likely to continue. Extreme measures of this trend range are 70 to 80. This indicator's trend cycle extremes take place every 18 to 24 months.
The
vertical buy and sell lines will only show a new line if a subsequent
buy or
sell signal has already been generated. For example, the
indicator may be showing that it is in the buy range but there will not
be a new buy Signal vertical
line on the chart if there has not yet been a sell signal.
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