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Τρίτη 1 Σεπτεμβρίου 2015

Egypt’s super-reserve find and Cyprus


A discovery of what is estimated to be 30tcf of natural gas in Egypt’s EEZ is especially important, for the Eastern Mediterranean region.  The discovery will have a significant effect on Cyprus’ energy developments, with experts expressing the opinion that the Cyprus-Egypt agreement could potentially sink.
The largest reserve in the Mediterranean
The reserve was discovered in the Shorouk field and is the biggest discovery in the Mediterranean region.  In fact, experts are saying that it could be the biggest Natural Gas find in the world, since ENI expects to find other geological structures in the area.  Up to today, the biggest reserve was Leviathan in the Israelis EEZ, which measured at about 22tcf.
Speaking to SigmaLive, the former head of KRETYK, Charalambos Ellinas, said that it is great news for Egypt, since it means an increase of 50% to natural gas reserves in the country, which today are at about 60tcf.  If everything goes well, than Egypt will have more natural gas than Norway, he added.
The process will be sped up
Accordingly, ENI, who exclusively owns the rights to the specific field, will directly move on a program of confirmatory drilling, in order to analyse the reserves specifically.  Egypt’s government is expected to ask for a quick program, which will drive the production process forward as soon as possible, due to the non-existence of NG the country is faced with.  It is not unlikely that the program will be organised by 2020, with the reserves being processed and liquefied in the existing facilities in Egypt. It’s worth noting that ENI owns 50% of the shares in the Damiettas terminal, which today is closed.
Ellinas said that the production is expected to be at 30 bcm per year, an amount which is enough to cover the domestic needs in Egypt for many years and keep the 2 terminals running.  He added that the discovery will transform the energy industry in the country and significantly strengthen its economy.
Rig 4d 
Luciano FontanaVerified account@lucfontana 16h16 hours ago
, il nuovo maxi giacimento Eni e gli altri nella stessa area (via )
The impact on Cyprus
The huge discovery could, according to Ellinas, have a significant impact on Cyprus’ and Israel’s aspirations for the export of natural gas to Egypt.  As is already known the two countries have been for some time now talking with Egypt.  Cyprus and Egypt finished a techno-financial study, which the Energy Ministry of the island did not comment on.
Grave-marker in Cyprus-Israel plans?
The former head of KRETYK said that prices after the discovery of the super-reserve in the Egyptian EEZ will be such that the import of NG from Cyprus or Israel will be asymmetric for Egypt.  Especially, if someone thinks that there will be a need to build pipelines.
“This new discovery, could potentially be a tombstone for both projects,” he said.
Finally it’s noted that the reserve neighbours with blocks 10 and 11 in the Cypriot EEZ, which means that the region could be hiding surprises for potential reserves in Cyprus’ EEC, or in the border region, between the exclusive economic zones of the two countries.  This could charge the agreement for exploitation from both countries.
Kasinis: more reserves will be found
The former director of the Energy Ministry, Solon Kasinis expressed the certainty that more Natural Gas reserves will be found in the Cypriot EEZ.  He said that he always believed that the Mediterranean would be proven to be the second North Sea, and he expressed the certainty that the Cypriot exclusive economic zone has more reserves.
Asked by CNA whether this discovery affects energy plans in Cyprus, Kasinis said that all data would be assessed based on the financial burden, explaining that the pipeline planned to run from Cyprus to Egypt is very large, of the order of 400 km, and is therefore very expensive. On the other, he said, the Zohr reserve is 125 miles from the coast of Egypt.
Asked what it meant for the island that the Zohr reserve borders with block 11 he said that it was up to the companies to decide and that ENI has been conducting extensive research in the area since 2011.
 
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